Making Decisions

Dennis V. Lindley

Amazon iTunes Hugendubel Bü kobo Osiander Google Books Barnes&Noble Legimi
* Affiliatelinks/Werbelinks
Hinweis: Affiliatelinks/Werbelinks
Links auf sind sogenannte Affiliate-Links. Wenn du auf so einen Affiliate-Link klickst und über diesen Link einkaufst, bekommt von dem betreffenden Online-Shop oder Anbieter eine Provision. Für dich verändert sich der Preis nicht.

John Wiley & Sons img Link Publisher

Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Management


Making Decisions Second Edition D.V. Lindley Formerly Professor ofStatistics, University College London This book looks at theproblems involved in decision-making and argues that there is onlyone logical way to make a decision. By the use of three basicprinciples--assigning probabilities to the uncertain events;assigning utilities to the possible consequences; and choosing thatdecision that maximizes expected utility--decisions can be reachedmore efficiently and with less disagreement. It shows that onlymaximization of expected utility leads to sensible decision-making.This extensively revised second edition uses only elementarymathematics and will be of interest to all those concerned withdecision-making and its consequences. Since his retirement fromUniversity College London in 1977 Professor Lindley has heldvisiting appointments at Berkeley, University of Florida, GeorgeWashington University, University of Sao Paulo, University ofWisconsin, Monash University, Australia, and University ofCanterbury, New Zealand. Contents * Decisions and uncertain events * A numerical measure for uncertainty * The laws of probability * A numerical measure for consequences * The utility of money * Bayes' Theorem * Value of information * Decision trees * The assessment of probabilities and utilities * An appreciation Appendix Answers to exercises Glossary of Symbols Subject Index

Weitere Titel von diesem Autor
Weitere Titel in dieser Kategorie
Cover Creative Problem Solving
Michael C. Jackson
Cover Making Decisions
Dennis V. Lindley
Cover Innovation Soup
Don Waisanen
Cover Do B2B Better
Jim Tincher
Cover Philosophy@Work
Anders Indset
Cover Free Time
Jenny Blake



Betriebswirtschaft u. Operationsforschung, Business & Management, Management Science/Operational Research, Wirtschaft u. Management