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The Politics of Economic Leadership

The Causes and Consequences of Presidential Rhetoric

B. Dan Wood

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Princeton University Press img Link Publisher

Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Politikwissenschaft

Beschreibung

The American president is widely viewed by the public and media as the nation's single most influential political and economic figure. But social scientists have often concluded that presidential words fall "on deaf ears" or have little lasting impact on policy or public opinion. Then why did Bill Clinton make 12,798 public references to the economy during his eight years in office compared with Harry Truman's mere 2,124 during his own two terms? Why George W. Bush's 3,351 remarks during his first term? Did all these words matter?



The Politics of Economic Leadership is the first comprehensive effort to examine when, why, and how presidents talk about the economy, as well as whether the president's economic rhetoric matters. It demonstrates conclusively that such presidential words do matter.


Using an unprecedented compendium of every known unique statement by U.S. presidents about the economy from World War II through the first George W. Bush administration, Dan Wood measures the relative intensity and optimism of presidents' economic rhetoric. His pathbreaking statistical analysis shows that presidential words can affect everything from approval of the president's job performance to perceptions of economic news, consumer confidence, consumer behavior, business investment, and interest rates. The impacts are both immediate and gradual. Ultimately, Wood concludes, rhetoric is indeed a tool of presidential leadership that can be used unilaterally to affect a range of political and economic outcomes.

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Schlagwörter

Economic indicator, Council of Economic Advisers, Economic evaluation, Investment, Rhetoric, Economic Report of the President, Stagflation, Credit (finance), Political capital, Tax cut, Time series, Opinion poll, Town meeting, National Bureau of Economic Research, Executive Office of the President, Federal funds rate, Economy, Voting, Economic growth, Pessimism, Public opinion, Recession, Prime rate, Public comment, Behavioral economics, Jimmy Carter, Optimism, News conference, Presidency of Bill Clinton, Forecasting, Politics, Vector autoregression, Economist, World War II, Incentive, Ronald Reagan, Inflation, Consumption (economics), Monetary policy, United States federal budget, Investor, Granger causality, Statistics, Year, Political party, Interest rate, Economic policy, Domestic policy, Political campaign, Economic statistics, Tax, Employment, Bill Clinton, Determinant, Income, Economic problem, Office of Management and Budget, George W. Bush, Legislation, Purchasing power, Stock market, Economy of the United States, Unemployment, Foreign policy, Economics, Tax Relief, American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, National debt of the United States, Job performance, Statistical significance