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War and Punishment

The Causes of War Termination and the First World War

H. E. Goemans

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Princeton University Press img Link Publisher

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Beschreibung

What makes wars drag on and why do they end when they do? Here H. E. Goemans brings theoretical rigor and empirical depth to a long-standing question of securities studies. He explores how various government leaders assess the cost of war in terms of domestic politics and their own postwar fates. Goemans first develops the argument that two sides will wage war until both gain sufficient knowledge of the other's strengths and weaknesses so as to agree on the probable outcome of continued war. Yet the incentives that motivate leaders to then terminate war, Goemans maintains, can vary greatly depending on the type of government they represent. The author looks at democracies, dictatorships, and mixed regimes and compares the willingness among leaders to back out of wars or risk the costs of continued warfare.


Democracies, according to Goemans, will prefer to withdraw quickly from a war they are not winning in order to appease the populace. Autocracies will do likewise so as not to be overthrown by their internal enemies. Mixed regimes, which are made up of several competing groups and which exclude a substantial proportion of the people from access to power, will likely see little risk in continuing a losing war in the hope of turning the tide. Goemans explores the conditions and the reasoning behind this "gamble for resurrection" as well as other strategies, using rational choice theory, statistical analysis, and detailed case studies of Germany, Britain, France, and Russia during World War I. In so doing, he offers a new perspective of the Great War that integrates domestic politics, international politics, and battlefield developments.

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Schlagwörter

Warfare, Ottoman Empire, Austria-Hungary, Alsace-Lorraine, Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, Blockade of Germany (1939–45), Separate peace, War reparations, Probability, Germany's Aims in the First World War, Peace treaty, Max Hoffmann, Imperialism, Belgium in World War II, Deterrence theory, Nivelle Offensive, Battle of Passchendaele, Allies of World War II, Armistice, Schlieffen Plan, War, Declaration of war, Dictatorship, Erich Ludendorff, Crimean War, International relations, Gambling for resurrection, Demobilization, Bolsheviks, Belligerent, Joseph Joffre, Brusilov Offensive, World War I, Prussia, John Mearsheimer, Hindenburg Line, Allies of World War I, War termination, Regime change, Superiority (short story), Central Powers, Fritz Fischer, Kerensky Offensive, Reichstag Peace Resolution, French Army, Revolution of 1905, That Justice Be Done, Military dictatorship, Fourteen Points, Left Bank of the Rhine, Politique, Annexation, Plan XVII, Absolute war, War cabinet, Sykes–Picot Agreement, Macedonian Front, Russian Revolution, Combatant, Democratic peace theory, Security dilemma, Treaty of Alliance (1778), Treaty of San Stefano, Decisive victory, Blockade, Unrestricted submarine warfare, Pacifism, U-boat, Polish Border Strip, Military history