img Leseprobe Leseprobe

Forbidden Fruit

Counterfactuals and International Relations

Richard Ned Lebow

PDF
ca. 44,99
Amazon iTunes Thalia.de Weltbild.de Hugendubel Bücher.de ebook.de kobo Osiander Google Books Barnes&Noble bol.com Legimi yourbook.shop Kulturkaufhaus ebooks-center.de
* Affiliatelinks/Werbelinks
Hinweis: Affiliatelinks/Werbelinks
Links auf reinlesen.de sind sogenannte Affiliate-Links. Wenn du auf so einen Affiliate-Link klickst und über diesen Link einkaufst, bekommt reinlesen.de von dem betreffenden Online-Shop oder Anbieter eine Provision. Für dich verändert sich der Preis nicht.

Princeton University Press img Link Publisher

Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Politikwissenschaft

Beschreibung

Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn't been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley's bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In Forbidden Fruit, Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international relations scholars are so resistant to the contingency and indeterminism inherent in open-ended, nonlinear systems. Most controversially, Lebow argues that the difference between counterfactual and so-called factual arguments is misleading, as both can be evidence-rich and logically persuasive. A must-read for social scientists, Forbidden Fruit also examines the binary between fact and fiction and the use of counterfactuals in fictional works like Philip Roth's The Plot Against America to understand complex causation and its implications for who we are and what we think makes the social world work.

Weitere Titel von diesem Autor
Richard Ned Lebow
Richard Ned Lebow
Richard Ned Lebow
Richard Ned Lebow
Richard Ned Lebow

Kundenbewertungen

Schlagwörter

Inference, Assassination, Austria-Hungary, A World Transformed, Prediction, The Plot Against America, Probability, Plausible deniability, Archduke, Superpower, Thomas Kuhn, Cold War, Germany's Aims in the First World War, Literature, Richard Ned Lebow, Superiority (short story), Philip E. Tetlock, Thought experiment, Demagogue, Theory of International Politics, Explanation, Aftermath of the September 11 attacks, John Mueller, Cuban Missile Crisis, Contingency (philosophy), Romanticism, State of nature, Brinkmanship, Great power, Cold War (1985–91), E. H. Carr, Imperialism, Theory, Post-structuralism, Result, Evil empire, Nuclear warfare, World War I, July Crisis, Nuclear peace, International relations, Political science, Security dilemma, Retrospective determinism, War, Democratic peace theory, Deterrence theory, Holocaust denial, Soviet Union, Military history, Stab-in-the-back myth, Mikhail Gorbachev, Counterfactual history, Foreign policy, Crisis management, Francis Fukuyama, International crisis, Jews, Hindsight bias, Participant, Gresham's law, World War II, Decolonization, Anti-Americanism, Fritz Fischer, Conspiracy theory, Narrative, Anschluss, It Can't Happen Here, Social science