Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era

Regional Powers and International Conflict

Vipin Narang

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Princeton University Press img Link Publisher

Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Politikwissenschaft

Beschreibung

The world is in a second nuclear age in which regional powers play an increasingly prominent role. These states have small nuclear arsenals, often face multiple active conflicts, and sometimes have weak institutions. How do these nuclear states—and potential future ones—manage their nuclear forces and influence international conflict? Examining the reasoning and deterrence consequences of regional power nuclear strategies, this book demonstrates that these strategies matter greatly to international stability and it provides new insights into conflict dynamics across important areas of the world such as the Middle East, East Asia, and South Asia.

Vipin Narang identifies the diversity of regional power nuclear strategies and describes in detail the posture each regional power has adopted over time. Developing a theory for the sources of regional power nuclear strategies, he offers the first systematic explanation of why states choose the postures they do and under what conditions they might shift strategies. Narang then analyzes the effects of these choices on a state's ability to deter conflict. Using both quantitative and qualitative analysis, he shows that, contrary to a bedrock article of faith in the canon of nuclear deterrence, the acquisition of nuclear weapons does not produce a uniform deterrent effect against opponents. Rather, some postures deter conflict more successfully than others.

Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era considers the range of nuclear choices made by regional powers and the critical challenges they pose to modern international security.

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Schlagwörter

Conventional weapon, Strategic nuclear weapon, Counterforce, Pre-emptive nuclear strike, War, Pakistan and weapons of mass destruction, Submarine-launched ballistic missile, Calculation, Cold War, Uncertainty, Yom Kippur War, Ballistic missile, Nuclear reactor, Weapon system, Nuclear warfare, Nuclear umbrella, Sino-Soviet split, Early modern Europe, Soviet Union, Nuclear proliferation, Weapon of mass destruction, Tactical nuclear weapon, Massive retaliation, Preventive war, International security, Warsaw Pact, Credible minimum deterrence, Technological determinism, Militarized interstate dispute, Military doctrine, Short-range ballistic missile, Neorealism (international relations), Nuclear strategy, Aircraft, Nuclear power, Nuclear weapon, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, South Asia, Superiority (short story), De facto, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, India–Pakistan relations, Materiel, Total war, Inference, Kargil War, China, Indian Army, Princeton University Press, Scott Sagan, Missile defense, Peacetime, Prediction, Thermonuclear weapon, Territorial integrity, United States Intelligence Community, Regional power, Nuclear blackmail, National security, Pakistan, International relations, Nuclear weapons testing, Gulf War, Foreign policy, Military operation, High-value target, Global catastrophic risk, Security studies, Technology, Ballistic missile submarine