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Identifying the Complex Causes of Civil War

A Machine Learning Approach

John David, Atin Basuchoudhary, Tinni Sen, et al.

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ca. 64,19
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Springer International Publishing img Link Publisher

Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Volkswirtschaft

Beschreibung

This book uses machine-learning to identify the causes of conflict from among the top predictors of conflict. This methodology elevates some complex causal pathways that cause civil conflict over others, thus teasing out the complex interrelationships between the most important variables that cause civil conflict. Success in this realm will lead to scientific theories of conflict that will be useful in preventing and ending civil conflict. After setting out a current review of the literature and a case for using machine learning to analyze and predict civil conflict, the authors lay out the data set, important variables, and investigative strategy of their methodology. The authors then investigate institutional causes, economic causes, and sociological causes for civil conflict, and how that feeds into their model. The methodology provides an identifiable pathway for specifying causal models. This book will be of interest to scholars in the areas of economics, political science, sociology, and artificial intelligence who want to learn more about leveraging machine learning technologies to solve problems and who are invested in preventing civil conflict.

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Schlagwörter

quantitative economics, civil conflict, economic variables, conflict studies, econometrics, demographic variables, machine learning, civil war, artificial intelligence