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Investment under Uncertainty
Robert K. Dixit, Robert S. Pindyck
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Sachbuch / Geld, Bank, Börse
Beschreibung
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending.
This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
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Stochastic process, Uncertainty, Variable cost, Real options valuation, Mathematical optimization, Capital gain, Expected value, Marginal cost, Supply and demand, Wiener process, Cost curve, Market portfolio, Asset, Brownian motion, Opportunity cost, Investment, Supply (economics), Standard deviation, Random variable, Revenue, Arbitrage, Differential equation, Discounts and allowances, Cash flow, Capital cost, Economist, Trade-off, Capital asset pricing model, Shortfall, Requirement, Economic equilibrium, Net present value, Jump process, Dynamic programming, Industrial organization, Quantity, Current Price, Expenditure, Economics, Call option, Tax, Price of oil, Geometric Brownian motion, Future value, Present value, Textbook, Interest rate, Partial differential equation, Calculation, Profit (economics), Commodity, Convenience yield, Long run and short run, Oil reserves, State variable, Depreciation, Option value (cost–benefit analysis), Probability, Value (economics), Cost of capital, Rational expectations, Rate of return, Operating cost, Average variable cost, Demand curve, Production function, Net Payoff, Itô's lemma, Dividend, Competitive equilibrium